Johannes Emmerling
Scientist
Johannes Emmerling

Johannes Emmerling is a Scientist at EIEE and co-leads the Low Carbon Pathways unit.

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Johannes Emmerling

Johannes Emmerling is a Senior Scientist at EIEE and co-leads its Low carbon pathways unit. He was a Senior Researcher at Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) between 2012 and 2018. Johannes holds a Ph.D. from the Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), a M.A. in Economics from the Free University Berlin and a B.Sc. in Economics from the University of Heidelberg. He was a postgraduate fellow in Development Cooperation at the German Development Institute, Bonn. He has been working amongst others at the Social Science Research Center (WZB) Berlin, the Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ), as Lecturer at Université Toulouse 1 Capitole, and as Consultant for the Organization of American States (OAS), the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), the German Institute of Metrology (PTB), the Asian Development Bank (ADB), and the World Bank. He is co-leading the development of the integrated assessment model WITCH. His main areas of research include Climate Change and Energy economics, Risk and Uncertainty, Welfare Economics and Development. He has co-authored over fifty articles in peer-reviewed journals and is an Associate Editor of the Public Finance Review. He is a passionate cyclist and plays keyboards in various formations.

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Emmerling J., Andreoni P., Charalampidis I., Dasgupta S., Dennig F., Feindt S., Fragkiadakis D., Fragkos P., Fujimori S., Gilli M., Grottera C., Guivarch C., Kornek U., Kriegler E., Malerba D., Marangoni G., Méjean A., Nijsse F., Piontek F., Simsek Y., Soergel B., Taconet N., Vandyck T., Young-Brun M., Zhao S., Zheng Y., Tavoni M.

A Multi-Model Assessment of Inequality and Climate Change

Nature Climate Change , - 2024

Gilli M., Calcaterra M., Emmerling J., Granella F.

Climate change impacts on the within-country income distributions

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management , Volume 127, September 2024, 103012 - 2024

Gilli M., Calcaterra M., Emmerling J., Granella F.

Climate change impacts on the within-country income distributions

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management , Volume 127 - Article number 103012 - 2024

Müller-Casseres E., Leblanc F., van den Berg M., Fragkos P., Dessens O., Naghash H., Draeger R., Le Gallic T., Tagomori I. S., Tsiropoulos I., Emmerling J., Baptista L. B., van Vuuren D., Giannousakis A., Drouet L., Portugal-Pereira J., de Boer H. S., Tsanakas N., Rochedo P. R. R., Szklo A

International shipping in a world below 2°C

Nature Climate Change , - 2024

Emmerling J., Kornek U., Zuber S.

Multidimensional welfare indices and the IPCC 6th Assessment Report scenarios

Ecological Economics , - 2024

Calcaterra M., Aleluia Reis L., Fragkos P., Briera T., de Boer H. S., Egli F., Emmerling J., Iyer G., Mittal S., Polzin F. H. J., Sanders M. W. J. L., Schmidt T. S., Serebriakova A., Steffen B., van de Ven D. J., van Vuuren D. P., Waidelich P., Tavoni M.

Reducing the cost of capital to finance the energy transition in developing countries

Nature Energy , - 2024

Henke H., Dekker M., Lombardi F., Pietzcker R., Fragkos P., Zakeri B., Rodrigues R., Sitarz J., Emmerling J., Fattahi A., Dalla Longa F., Tatarewicz I., Fotiou T., Lewarski M., Huppmann D., Kavvadias K., van der Zwaan B., Usher W.

The mutual benefits of comparing Energy System Models and Integrated Assessment Models

Open Research Europe , - 2024

Emmerling, Reis LA., Drouet L., Raitzer DA., and M. Pradhananga

Assessing the Implications of a Global Net-Zero Transition for Developing Asia - Insights from Integrated Assessment Modeling

Asian Development Bank , ADB Economic Working Paper NO. 709 - 2023

van der Wijst K., Bosello F., Dasgupta S., Drouet L., Emmerling J., Hof A., Leimbach M., Parrado R., Piontek R., Standardi G. & van Vuuren D.

New damage curves and multimodel analysis suggest lower optimal temperature

Nat. Clim. Chang. , 13, 434–441 - 2023

Pezzoli P., Emmerling J., Tavoni M.

SRM on the Table: The Role of Geoengineering for the Stability and Effectiveness of Climate Coalitions

RFF working papers , - 2023

Emmerling, J., De Cian E., Malpede M.

Energy Intensity Convergence and Its Long-Run Minimum

Politica Economica , - 2022

Colelli F., Emmerling J., Marangoni G., Mistry M., De Cian E.

Increased energy use for adaptation significantly impacts mitigation pathways

Nature Communications , 13, Article number: 4964 - 2022

Shayegh, S., Emmerling, J., Tavoni, M.

International Migration Projections across Skill Levels in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

Sustainability , 2022, 14(8), 4757 - 2022

van der Ploeg F., Emmerling J., Groom B.

The Social Cost of Carbon with Intragenerational Inequality under Economic Uncertainty

RFF Working Papers , Working Paper 22-08 - 2022

Bertram C. et al. (Bosetti V., Drouet L., Emmerling J.)

Energy system developments and investments in the decisive decade for the Paris Agreement goals

Environmental Research Letters , Volume 16, Number 7 - 2021

Ilkka K., Butnar I., Bauer N., Caspani M, Edelenbosch O., Emmerling J., Fragkos P., et al.

Exploring the Possibility Space: Taking Stock of the Diverse Capabilities and Gaps in Integrated Assessment Models

Environmental Research Letters , - 2021

Harmsen M., Kriegler E., van Vuuren D., van der Wijst K.-I., Luderer G., Cui R., Dessens O., Drouet L., Emmerling J., et al.

Integrated assessment model diagnostics: key indicators and model evolution

Environmental Research Letters , April 2021 - 2021

Piontek F., Drouet L., Emmerling J., Kompas T., Méjean A., Otto C., Rising J., Soergel B., Taconet N., Tavoni M.

Integrated perspective on translating biophysical to economic impacts of climate change

Nature Climate Change , Volume 11, pages 563–572 - 2021

Pai S., Emmerling J., Drouet L., Zerriffi H., Jewell J.

Meeting well-below 2°C target would increase energy sector jobs globally

One Earth , 4 (7), 1026--1036, July 2021 - 2021

Drouet L., Bosetti V., Padoan S., Aleluia Reis L., Bertram C., Dalla Longa F., Després J., Emmerling J., Fosse F., Fragkiadakis K., Frank S., Fricko O., Fujimori S., Harmsen M., Krey V., Oshiro K., Nogueira L.P., Paroussos L., Piontek F., Riahi K., Rochedo P.R.R., Schaeffer R., Takakura J., van der Wijst K., van der Zwaan B., van Vuuren D., Vrontisi Z., Weitzel M., Zakeri B., Tavoni M.

Net zero emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change

Nature Climate Change , Volume 11, pages1070–1076 - 2021

Gazzotti P., Emmerling J., Marangoni G., Castelletti A., van der Wijst K., Hof A., Tavoni M.

Persistent inequality in economically optimal climate policies

Nature Communications , 12, 3421 (2021) - 2021

Emmerling J., Tavoni M.

Representing inequalities in integrated assessment modeling of climate change

One Earth , Volume 4, Issue 2, 19 February 2021, Pages 177-180 - 2021

Emmerling J., Navarro P., Sisco M.R.

Subjective Well-Being at the Macro Level—Empirics and Future Scenarios

Social Indicators Research , 13 April 2021 - 2021

Emmerling J., Furceri D., Libano Monteiro F., Loungani P., Ostry J.D., Pizzuto P., Tavoni M.

Will the Economic Impact of COVID-19 Persist? Prognosis from 21st Century Pandemics

IMF Working Papers , No. 2021/119 - 2021

Antonelli C., Coromaldi M., Dasgupta S., Emmerling J., Shayegh S.

Climate Impacts on Nutrition and Labor Supply Disentangled – an Analysis for Rural Areas of Uganda.

Environment and Development Economics , March 2020, 1–26 - 2020

Fofrich R. A., Tong D., Calvin K.V., Sytze de Boer H., Emmerling J., Fricko O., Fujimori S., Luderer G., Rogelj J., Davis S.J.

Early Retirement of Power Plants in Climate Mitigation Scenarios

Environmental Research Letters , - 2020

Dasgupta S., Emmerling J., Shayegh S.

Inequality and growth impacts from climate change - insights from South Africa

RFF Working Papers Series , May 2020 - 2020

Malik A., Bertram C., Després J., Emmerling J., Fujimori S., Garg A., Kriegler E., et al.

Reducing stranded assets through early action in the Indian power sector

Environmental Research Letters , April 2020 - 2020

Jewell, J., Emmerling, J., Vinichenko, V., Bertram C., Berger L., Daly H. E., Keppo I., Krey V., Gernaat D. E. H. J., Fragkiadakis K., McCollum D., Paroussas L., Riahi K., Tavoni M., van Vuuren D.

Reply to: Why fossil fuel producer subsidies matter

Nature , Volume 578, pages E5–E7(2020) - 2020

Roelfsema M., Van Soest H., Harmsen M., van Vuuren D., Bertram C., Elzen M., Höhne N., Iacobuta G., Krey V., Kriegler E., Luderer G., Riahi K., Ueckerdt F., Després J., Drouet L., Emmerling J., Frank S., Fricko O., Gidden M., Humpenöder F., Huppmann D., Fujimori S., Fragkiadakis K., Gi K., Keramidas K., Köberle A., Aleluia Reis L., Rochedo P., Schaeffer R., Oshiro K., Vrontisi Z., Chen W., Iyer G., Edmonds J., Kannavou M., Jiang K., Mathur R., Safonov G., Vishwanathan S.S.

Taking stock of national climate policies to evaluate implementation of the Paris Agreement

Nature Communications , Volume 11, Article number: 2096 (2020) - 2020

Berger L., Emmerling J.

Welfare as equity equivalents

Journal of Economic Surveys , June 13, 2020 - 2020

Fujimori, S., Hasegawa T., Krey V., Riahi K., Bertram C., Bodirsky B.L., Bosetti V., Callen J., Després J., Doelman J., Drouet L., Emmerling J., Frank S., Fricko O., Havlik P., Humpenöder F., Koopman J., van Meijl H., Ochi Y., Popp A., Schmitz A., Takahashi K., and D. van Vuuren

A Multi-Model Assessment of Food Security Implications of Climate Change Mitigation

Nature Sustainability , Volume 2, No. 5 (May 13, 2019): 386–96 - 2019

Emmerling J., Kornek U., Bosetti V., Lessmann K.

Climate thresholds and heterogeneous regions: implications for coalition formation

The Review of International Organizations , pp 1–24 - 2019

van den Berg N.J., Hof A.F., den Elzen M.G.J., van Vuuren D. P., Chen W., Drouet L., Emmerling J., Fujimori S., Höhne N., Köberle A., McCollum D., Schaeffer R., Shekhar S., Vishwanathan S. S.; Vrontisi Z., Blok K.

Implications of various effort-sharing approaches for national carbon budgets and emission pathways

Climatic Change , February 2019, pp. 1-18 - 2019

Anthoff D., Emmerling J.

Inequality and the Social Cost of Carbon

Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists , Vol. 6, No. 2: 29-59 - 2019

Emmerling J., Drouet L., van der Wijst K-I., Van Vuuren D., Bosetti V., Tavoni M.

The role of the discount rate for emission pathways and negative emissions

Environmental Research Letters , - 2019

McCollum, D., Wilson C., Bevione M., Carrara S., Edelenbosch O.Y., Emmerling J., Guivarch C., Karkatsoulis P., Keppo I., Krey V., Lin Z., Ó Broin E., Paroussos L., Pettifor H., Ramea K., Riahi K., Sano F., Rodriguez B.S., van Vuuren D.

Interaction of consumer preferences and climate policies in the global transition to low-carbon vehicles

Nature Energy , Volume 3, pages 664–673 - 2018

Jewell J., McCollum D., Emmerling J., Bertram C., Gernaat D. E. H. J., Krey V., Paroussos L., Berger L., Fragkiadakis K., Keppo I., Saadi N., Tavoni M., van Vuuren D., Vinichenko V., Riahi K.

Limited Emission Reductions from Fuel Subsidy Removal except in Energy-Exporting Regions

Nature , 554, 229–233 (2018) - 2018

Gunnar L., Vrontisi Z., Bertram C., Edelenbosch O. Y., Pietzcker R. C., Rogelj J., De Boer H. S., Drouet L., Emmerling J., Fricko O., Fujimori S., Havlík P., Iyer G., Keramidas K., Kitous A., Pehl M., Krey V., Riahi K., Saveyn B., Tavoni M., Van Vuuren D.P., Kriegler E.

Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5-2°C pathways

Nature Climate Change , Volume 8, pages 626–633 - 2018

Rogelj J., Popp A., Calvin K., Luderer G., Emmerling J., Gernaat D., Fujimori S., Strefler J., Hasegawa T., Marangoni G., Krey V., Kriegler E., Riahi K., van Vuuren D., Doelman J., Drouet L., Edmonds J., Fricko O., Harmsen M., Havlík P., Humpenöder F., Stehfest E., Tavoni M.

Scenarios towards limiting global-mean temperature increase below 1.5°C

Nature Climate Change , Volume 8, 8, pages 325–332(2018) - 2018